Charles DiBona Makes New Estimates for Windows Vista
June 13, 2008 by Milo Riano
Filed under Computers
Bernstein Research analyst Charles DiBona had very positive estimates for Windows Vista before but had to cut them because of a number of issues that held back implementations of Windows Vista as was reported from a survey conducted by Bernstein and Ziff Davis Media among 372 IT professionals. Their findings are as follows:
1. Support for Vista has been battered across all enterprise sizes and corporate constituencies.
2. A year of overwhelmingly bad publicity, coupled with opportunities for continued XP ‘downgrades’ or potentially skipping over Vista for Windows 7, looks to have meaningfully eroded support for Vista and are likely to impair the product’s overall adoption.
3. These hardware requirements were the single largest negative factor affecting Vista adoption.
4. Almost no feature of the new OS is now seen as a meaningful positive driver for adoption.
DiBona has lowered his estimates by $49 million for June 2008, by $395 million on FY 2009. Though DiBona raised estimates for FY ‘10 by $429 million because of Windows 7.
