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Monday, November 30th, 2009

Poker Hand Odds

March 30, 2008 by Blake  
Filed under Sports

In case you haven’t thought about it in a while, it’s nice to look over hard odds and numbers on what a hand can develop into based on numbers. A lot of these you come to feel in your head without thinking from memorization, but it’s still good to stare at and review a little, just for context.

From bodog.com:

After being dealt a pocket pair, the probability of:

• Flopping a set or better – 7.5/1
• Flopping a set – 8.3/1
• Flopping a full house – 136/1
• Flopping quads – 407/1
• Making a set or better by the river – 4.2/1

Use a poker odds calculator to calculate the probabilites and poker odds in real time. A pot odds calculator will:

• Auto-read your cards and give you instant odds.
• Winning advice from odds and your position at the table.
• Calculate pot odds – a.k.a pot odds calculator.
• Always know the most profitable move.

With 2 suited cards, the probability of:

• Flopping a flush – 118/1
• Flopping a flush draw – 8.1/1
• Flopping a backdoor flush draw (3 flush cards) – 1.4/1
• Making a flush by the river – 15/1

With 2 unsuited cards, the probability of:

• Flopping a flush draw – 88/1
• Flopping a backdoor flush draw (3 flush cards) – 6.8/1
• Making a flush by the river – 53/1

With 2 non-pair cards, the probability of flopping:

• At least a pair (using your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 2.1/1
• A pair (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 2.5/1
• Two pair (using both of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 49/1
• Any two pair from two non-pair cards – 24/1
• Trips (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 73/1
• A full house (using both of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 1087/1
• Quads (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards – 9799/1

Poker Odds Chart that the flop will be:

• Three of a kind – 424/1
• A pair – 5/1
• Three suited cards – 18/1
• Two suited cards – 0.8/1
• No suited cards – 1.5/1
• Three cards in sequence – 28/1
• Two cards in sequence – 1.5/1
• No cards in sequence – 0.8/1

At the turn, the probability of making:

• A full house or better from a set on the next card – (7 outs) 5.7 to 1
• A full house from two pair on the next card – (4 outs) 11 to 1
• A flush from a four-flush on the next card – (9 outs) 4.2 to 1
• A straight from an open-ended straight draw on the next card – (8 outs) 4.9 to 1
• A straight from a gutshot straight draw on the next card – (4 outs) 11 to 1
• A pair from two overcards – (6 outs) 6.8 to 1

From flop to river, the probability of making:

• A full house or better from a set by the river – 2/1
• A full house or better from two pair by the river (4 outs) – 5.1 to 1
• A flush from a four-flush by the river (9 outs) – 1.9 to 1
• A backdoor flush by the river – 23 to 1
• A straight from an open-ended straight draw by the river – (8 outs) 2.2 to 1
• A straight from a gutshot straight draw by the river – (4 outs) 5.1 to 1
• A pair or better from two overcards by the river – (6 outs) 3.2 to 1

At the river, the probability of making:

• A full house or better from a set (10 outs) – 3.6/1
• A full house from two pair on the final card (4 outs) – 11/1
• A flush from a four-flush on the final card (9 outs) – 4.1/1
• An open-ended straight draw (8 outs) – 4.8/1
• A gutshot straight draw (4 outs) – 11/1
• A pair from two overcards (6 outs) – 6.7/1

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Comments

2 Responses to “Poker Hand Odds”
  1. Jereme says:

    So are these real life odds or online odds?

    Cause I seem to see quads quite often.

  2. Blake says:

    Haha. Yeah they should post their own.

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