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Sunday, November 22nd, 2009

Knuckle Curve

More Fun with Career Projections

February 2, 2008 by Geoff Young  
Filed under Hall of Fame, Stats and Analysis

More Fun with Career Projections

While I’m waiting for Puppy Bowl IV to arrive, I thought I’d flip through the STATS 1997 Baseball Scoreboard for inspiration. I’ve already used this source to re-examine Barry Bonds and now I see that there are a few more projections in here.
This time we’re looking at projected career hits. Specifically we’re looking at the players who were judged at that time most likely to reach 3000 hits. Let’s compare projected with actual, shall we?

Career Hits, Projected pre-’97 vs Actual post-’07

Player
Proj
Act
Diff

Cal Ripken Jr.
3166
3184
+18

Tony Gwynn
3139
3141
+2

Wade Boggs
3025
3010
-15

Roberto Alomar
2803
2724
-79

Rafael Palmeiro
2672
3020
+348

Chuck Knoblauch
2509
1839
-670

Frank Thomas
2355
2409
+54

Marquis Grissom
2328
2251
-77

Alex Rodriguez
2151
2250
+99

Points worth noting:

Those projections for Ripken, Gwynn, and Boggs are …read more

Chasing Knoblauch

January 24, 2008 by Geoff Young  
Filed under Personalities, Roid Rage

Chasing Knoblauch

ESPN reports that federal agents haven’t been able to track down ex-big-leaguer Chuck Knoblauch to serve him with a subpoena to appear before a House panel investigating steroid use in baseball:
When the committee didn’t hear from Knoblauch or a representative, it issued a subpoena to force the 1991 AL Rookie of the Year to submit to a deposition next Tuesday.
As of 7 p.m. Wednesday, though, that subpoena had not reached the former infielder who, like Clemens and more than 80 other players, was accused of using performance-enhancing drugs in last month’s Mitchell Report on baseball’s steroids era.
Knoblauch swiped 407 …read more


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