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	<title>Knuckle Curve &#187; jason_bay</title>
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		<title>Twenty Names to Know</title>
		<link>http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve/twenty-names-to-know/</link>
		<comments>http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve/twenty-names-to-know/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Oct 2007 12:51:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stats and Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball_prospectus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bobby_higginson]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[c_c_sabathia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[erik_bedard]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[jason_bay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joba_chamberlain]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[justin_upton]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knucklecurve.com/twenty-names-to-know/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nate Silver ran a piece the other day at Baseball Prospectus re-examining his earlier look at the 50 most valuable long-term commodities in baseball. He offers thoughts on biggest risers (including Justin Upton, about whom he correctly notes that &#8220;age is everything, and for a 19-year-old to come this far this fast is very special&#8221;), biggest fallers (comparing Jason Bay&#8217;s career path to that of Bobby Higginson), and his &#8220;very preliminary, off-the-cuff, subject-to-change, pre-PECOTA Top 20&#8243; for next year.
Read the full article for all the details, but here are Silver&#8217;s projected top pitchers for 2008-2013. See if you can figure [...]<p>Post from: <a href="http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve">Knuckle Curve</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nate Silver <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=607">ran a piece the other day</a> at Baseball Prospectus re-examining his earlier look at the 50 most valuable long-term commodities in baseball. He offers thoughts on biggest risers (including Justin Upton, about whom he correctly notes that &#8220;age is everything, and for a 19-year-old to come this far this fast is very special&#8221;), biggest fallers (comparing Jason Bay&#8217;s career path to that of Bobby Higginson), and his &#8220;very preliminary, off-the-cuff, subject-to-change, pre-PECOTA Top 20&#8243; for next year.</p>
<p>Read the full article for all the details, but here are Silver&#8217;s projected top pitchers for 2008-2013. See if you can figure out which one doesn&#8217;t belong:</p>
<ol>
<li>Johan Santana, Min</li>
<li>Jake Peavy, SD</li>
<li>C.C. Sabathia, Cle</li>
<li>Erik Bedard, Bal</li>
<li>Joba Chamberlain, NYA</li>
</ol>
<p>Hint: His last last name is the same as that of a former British prime minister.</p>
<p>Post from: <a href="http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve">Knuckle Curve</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Worst of the Worst</title>
		<link>http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve/worst-of-the-worst/</link>
		<comments>http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve/worst-of-the-worst/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 Sep 2007 17:49:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Geoff Young</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Odds and Ends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[adam_eaton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[colby_lewis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[delmon_young]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jason_bay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jason_kendall]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[jose_mesa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[josh_barfield]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[lyle_overbay]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[nick_punto]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[scott_olsen]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.knucklecurve.com/worst-of-the-worst/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With the season winding down, I got to wondering who&#8217;s stinking up the joint? Here are the players with the lowest OPS+ by position (minimum 430 PA, roughly what it would take to qualify for the batting title if the season ended now) and the pitchers with the highest ERA+ (minimum 140 IP for starters, 40 G for relievers):

Worst Position Players of 2007



Pos
Name
Team(s)
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS+




Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and are through games of September 9, 2007.




C
Jason Kendall
Oak/ChN
.245
.300
.313
63


1B
Lyle Overbay
Tor
.239
.317
.397
85


2B
Josh Barfield
Cle
.245
.273
.326
59


3B
Nick Punto
Min
.199
.286
.255
46


SS
Tony Pena
KC
.256
.276
.334
56


Omar Vizquel
SF
.239
.299
.295
56


LF
Jason Bay
Pit
.253
.331
.424
95


CF
Juan Pierre
LA
.290
.323
.347
73


RF
Delmon Young
TB
.293
.322
.416
92



Quick comments:

Kendall and Pierre have humongous contracts. Kendall&#8217;s is up at the end of the &#8216;07 season, [...]<p>Post from: <a href="http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve">Knuckle Curve</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the season winding down, I got to wondering who&#8217;s stinking up the joint? Here are the players with the lowest OPS+ by position (minimum 430 PA, roughly what it would take to qualify for the batting title if the season ended now) and the pitchers with the highest ERA+ (minimum 140 IP for starters, 40 G for relievers):</p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%">
<caption>Worst Position Players of 2007<br />
<caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Pos</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Team(s)</th>
<th>BA</th>
<th>OBP</th>
<th>SLG</th>
<th>OPS+</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and are through games of September 9, 2007.</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>C</td>
<td>Jason Kendall</td>
<td>Oak/ChN</td>
<td>.245</td>
<td>.300</td>
<td>.313</td>
<td>63</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1B</td>
<td>Lyle Overbay</td>
<td>Tor</td>
<td>.239</td>
<td>.317</td>
<td>.397</td>
<td>85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2B</td>
<td>Josh Barfield</td>
<td>Cle</td>
<td>.245</td>
<td>.273</td>
<td>.326</td>
<td>59</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3B</td>
<td>Nick Punto</td>
<td>Min</td>
<td>.199</td>
<td>.286</td>
<td>.255</td>
<td>46</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2">SS</td>
<td>Tony Pena</td>
<td>KC</td>
<td>.256</td>
<td>.276</td>
<td>.334</td>
<td>56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Omar Vizquel</td>
<td>SF</td>
<td>.239</td>
<td>.299</td>
<td>.295</td>
<td>56</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LF</td>
<td>Jason Bay</td>
<td>Pit</td>
<td>.253</td>
<td>.331</td>
<td>.424</td>
<td>95</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CF</td>
<td>Juan Pierre</td>
<td>LA</td>
<td>.290</td>
<td>.323</td>
<td>.347</td>
<td>73</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RF</td>
<td>Delmon Young</td>
<td>TB</td>
<td>.293</td>
<td>.322</td>
<td>.416</td>
<td>92</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Quick comments:</p>
<ul>
<li>Kendall and Pierre have humongous contracts. Kendall&#8217;s is up at the end of the &#8216;07 season, but the Dodgers get to pay Pierre a total of $36.5 over the next four years. Good times.</li>
<li>Punto&#8217;s futility at the plate borders on the historic. Since 1961, only seven players have had a <a href="http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/9awT">worse OPS+ while qualifying for a league&#8217;s batting title</a>; the most recent was Neifi Perez, playing for the Kansas City Royals in 2002.</li>
<li>There aren&#8217;t really any bad-hitting corner outfielders. It&#8217;s surprising to see Bay at the bottom of the left fielders. We&#8217;ll cut Young some slack due to the fact that he&#8217;s starting in the big leagues at age 21. That makes up for a lot.</li>
</ul>
<table border="1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="2" width="100%">
<caption>Worst Pitchers of 2007<br />
<caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Pos</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Team(s)</th>
<th>W-L</th>
<th>ERA</th>
<th>ERA+</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">Statistics are courtesy of Baseball-Reference and are through games of September 9, 2007.</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>RHSP</td>
<td>Adam Eaton</td>
<td>Phi</td>
<td>9-8</td>
<td>6.28</td>
<td>72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LHSP</td>
<td>Scott Olsen</td>
<td>Fla</td>
<td>9-12</td>
<td>5.76</td>
<td>73</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RHRP</td>
<td>Jose Mesa</td>
<td>Det/Phi</td>
<td>1-3</td>
<td>7.36</td>
<td>61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LHRP</td>
<td>Jay Marshall</td>
<td>Oak</td>
<td>1-2</td>
<td>6.75</td>
<td>65</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Kip Wells (6-16, 5.65, 76) could overtake Eaton, while Olsen&#8217;s lead over Dontrelle Willis (8-15, 5.27, 80) appears to be safe. Eaton is on pace to become the first pitcher to finish with a winning percentage while being at the absolute bottom of the ERA+ pile since Colby Lewis (10-9, 7.30, 68) did it in 2003 while &#8220;pitching&#8221; for the Texas Rangers.</p>
<p>Post from: <a href="http://www.everyjoe.com/knucklecurve">Knuckle Curve</a></p>
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