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Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Knuckle Curve

Twins Pitchers: Out of Control?

May 19, 2007 by Geoff Young  
Filed under Stats and Analysis

One of the chapters in my book, the Ducksnorts 2007 Baseball Annual, examines strategies teams like the A’s and Twins have employed to remain successful over the past several years. The A’s are fairly well chronicled in Michael Lewis’ Moneyball, but what about the Twins?

One thing I discovered about the Twins is that their pitching staff tends to force the opposition to put the ball in play. They’ve surrendered the fewest walks in the American League in each of the past three seasons, and they’ve finished no worse than third in that category since 2001.

This year, however, the Twins find themselves in the middle of the pack. Through May 18, six teams have allowed fewer walks than the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Walk Rates, 2001-2007
Year BB/9 Rnk AL Avg Win%
Stats courtesy of ESPN, through May 18, 2007.
2001 2.78 2 3.23 .525
2002 2.73 3 3.26 .584
2003 2.48 2 3.17 .556
2004 2.63 1 3.34 .568
2005 2.14 1 3.02 .512
2006 2.23 1 3.19 .593
2007 3.31 7 3.42 .463

 
We’re only a quarter of the way through the season, and it’s not like this is the only reason Minnesota is struggling. That said, the Twins appear to be straying pretty far from something that has helped give them an advantage over the past several years.

I wonder how much of this is due to the retirement of strike thrower extraordinaire Brad Radke. More importantly, I wonder if the Twins can get their mojo back before it’s too late. In the AL Central, there is precious little margin for error. Now would be a real good time to stop walking batters and start winning games.

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Comments

2 Responses to “Twins Pitchers: Out of Control?”
  1. Rain Delay says:

    Though I would take into account they were trotting Sydney Ponson out there every 5th day for a while. And then there’s Boof Bonser not sure what his BB/9 is..but that might be part of the problem.

    Santana can only do so much, and he’s been getting knocked around lately as well.

  2. Geoff Young says:

    Ponson, Bonser, Glen Perkins, Dennys Reyes, and Juan Rincon all have had trouble throwing strikes. Not a good situation at all…

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