UK Conservatives Predicted to Be Just Shy of an Overall Majority

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Fri, May 8 - 3:14 am EST | 10 months ago by
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In the United Kingdom, partial results show that the Conservative Party has fared better than expected in the latest round of elections. In fact, the party has almost secured enough votes to cinch the majority in the House of Commons.

David Cameron and wife
Prime Minister David Cameron and wife Samantha (Photo by Dan Kitwood/Getty Images)

The partial results and exit polls, which come as a shock to many political pundits, indicate that Prime Minister David Cameron will almost certainly stay in office. Cameron had been locked in a political battle with the head of the Labour Party, Britain’s democratic socialist party that is led by Ed Miliband. The Labour Party expected to win 233 seats, far less than had been predicted previously, and a far cry from the Conservative Party’s projected 320+ seats.

If the final results align with what we’ve seen so far, it would mean bad news for the Labour Party. It won 256 seats back in the 2010 elections; losing over 20 seats diminishes their political leverage greatly. Their loss also means that they would no longer have any presence in Scotland, which they once controlled almost exclusively.

The Conservative Party, conversely, would find itself in a much better position. Without a majority presence, it can still appeal to smaller parties to create a coalition government, within which the Conservative Party would still be the dominant force. Also, David Cameron, who has been Prime Minister since 2010, can point to this year’s election as a sign that his party’s policies have the favor of the British people.

As for the reliability of the polls, people close to the Labour Party are understandably skeptical. “I’ll bet you my hat, eaten on your program, that it is wrong,” said Paddy Ashdown, the former leader of the Liberal Democrat party which often sides with Labour. Still, John Curtice, the chief exit pollster with Strathclyde University who also conducted an extremely accurate 2010 poll for the general elections, stands by the results and says that early showings have only proved him right.

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